Elizabeth Warren surpasses Joe Biden in major Iowa poll

Make sure to let us know what you think... we now have comments turned ON below the article!

From the moment he first launched his campaign earlier this year, former Vice President Joe Biden has consistently polled nationwide as the clear and obvious frontrunner among the many Democratic 2020 candidates — that is, until now.

A major poll in Iowa just showed a new candidate in the lead for the first time this primary cycle, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, who surpassed Biden and now has a two-point advantage — not to mention a broader and firmer base of support among the state’s likely Democratic caucus-goers.

Warren takes the lead

The Des Moines Register, in conjunction with CNN and Mediacom, conducted the poll of likely Democratic caucus-goers between Sept. 14-18 and found that 22% of respondents favored Warren as opposed to 20% who preferred Biden. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders ranked third with 11% support to round out the top tier of candidates.

The second tier of candidates included South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 9%, California Sen. Kamala Harris at 6%, as well as Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar and New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker at 3%, respectively. Another 12 candidates filled out the remainder of the field with the support of 2% or less among Iowa voters.

“This is the first major shakeup” in an otherwise stagnated race, explained J. Ann Selzer, president of polling firm Selzer & Co. “It’s the first time we’ve had someone other than Joe Biden at the top of the leader board.”

However, Selzer noted that the poll showed that only about 20% of respondents were firmly committed to their choice of candidate, while 63% said they could still be persuaded to support someone else. She said, “The data in this poll seem to suggest the field is narrowing, but my sense is there’s still opportunity aplenty. The leaders aren’t all that strong. The universe is not locked in.”

Expanding support base

To wit, 71% of likely caucus-goers said Warren was a candidate they were actively considering — the most of any candidate — a number which included 22% who ranked her as their first choice, 20% who said she was their second choice, and 29% who said they would at least consider her.

In comparison, only 60% of respondents said they were considering Biden. Likewise, while Warren received a “favorable” rating from 75% of respondents, Biden was viewed favorably by 66%, down significantly from the 82% who viewed him favorably back in December. Meanwhile, Biden’s unfavorable rating over that same time frame has nearly doubled from 15% to 29%.

Another area of concern for Biden is the fact that he was once the clear-cut leader in this particular poll in December with 32%, a number that has steadily declined over the months while Warren — who initially polled at 8% in December — has seen her level of support steadily increase to the point of overtaking Biden.

On top of that, while Biden does best with older voters, he has failed miserably at gaining traction with younger demographics, a key segment of the electorate with which Warren has demonstrated real strength. Even more troubling for Biden is the fact that former supporters of Sanders — who has also been sliding downward in the polls — seem to be coalescing around Warren more than Biden or any of the other candidates.

Potentially ominous signs for Biden

To be sure, there are still several months to go until Iowa caucus-goers officially cast their votes for the Democratic candidates, and a lot can change between now and then.

That said, momentum is clearly something Warren currently has on her side and that Biden is sorely lacking. If she continues to surge while the former VP continues to falter, the day may soon come when Biden throws in the towel and ends what increasingly appears to be another futile campaign for the presidency.

213 Responses

  1. Greetings! This is my first visit to your blog! We are a group of volunteers and starting a new project in a community in the same niche. Your blog provided us beneficial information to work on. You have done a extraordinary job!

  2. I am really enjoying the theme/design of your website. Do you ever run into any internet browser compatibility issues? A handful of my blog visitors have complained about my site not operating correctly in Explorer but looks great in Safari. Do you have any advice to help fix this issue?

  3. Wonderful blog! I found it while browsing on Yahoo News. Do you have any tips on how to get listed in Yahoo News? I’ve been trying for a while but I never seem to get there! Thanks

  4. I’m commenting to make you be aware of of the brilliant discovery my cousin’s girl developed going through your blog. She mastered so many details, with the inclusion of what it is like to possess an awesome helping mood to let other folks really easily have an understanding of various multifaceted matters. You truly exceeded my desires. I appreciate you for rendering such interesting, trusted, informative and even unique thoughts on the topic to Ethel.

  5. I together with my friends happened to be going through the best tips and tricks found on your site and at once I had an awful suspicion I had not thanked the blog owner for those tips. Those men appeared to be certainly excited to read through them and have in effect in fact been having fun with these things. Appreciation for simply being considerably thoughtful and also for utilizing this sort of awesome issues most people are really desperate to be aware of. Our honest apologies for not saying thanks to sooner.

  6. Aw, this was a really nice post. In concept I would like to put in writing like this additionally taking time and precise effort to make a very good article however what can I say I procrastinate alot and on no account seem to get one thing done.

  7. Have you ever thought about creating an e-book or guest authoring on other blogs? I have a blog centered on the same subjects you discuss and would really like to have you share some stories/information. I know my audience would value your work. If you are even remotely interested, feel free to shoot me an e mail.

  8. Hey there! Someone in my Facebook group shared this site with us so I came to check it out. I’m definitely loving the information. I’m bookmarking and will be tweeting this to my followers! Excellent blog and brilliant design.

  9. Howdy! This is kind of off topic but I need some advice from an established blog. Is it very hard to set up your own blog? I’m not very techincal but I can figure things out pretty quick. I’m thinking about setting up my own but I’m not sure where to begin. Do you have any points or suggestions? Many thanks

  10. We stumbled over here from a different web address and thought I might as well check things out. I like what I see so i am just following you. Look forward to exploring your web page again.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.